Incarn Word
W-L: (12-17) PR = 92.5763Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 51-** 1107 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 56-69 1110 A STTHT 86-72 1119 H Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 57-74 1123 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 62-70 1203 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 56-84 1216 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 54-52 1218 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 79-68 1229 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 53-74 1231 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 66-59 103 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 56-52 108 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 63-75 110 H Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 62-78 115 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 70-63 117 A Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 66-53 122 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 74-65 124 A TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 90-73 129 H TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 64-70 131 H UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 70-80 205 H Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 64-74 207 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 54-75 212 H New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 73-77 214 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 72-66 219 A Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 71-65 221 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 71-61 226 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 71-93 228 H Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 69-80 302 H UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 64-72 309 H Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 55-81
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Texas 51-** -72 -7 0.00
1107 H Abilene Chr 56-69 -13 -2 -0.34
1119 H Texas-SA 57-74 -17 -2 -0.02
1123 H Rice 62-70 -8 -3 0.00
1203 H TCU 56-84 -28 -5 0.00
1216 A Nicholls 54-52 2 0 + 2.07
1218 A New Orleans 79-68 11 2 0.36
1229 H McNeese 53-74 -21 -3 0.00
1231 A Soea LA 66-59 7 1 0.77
103 A Houston Chr 56-52 4 1 1.16
108 H SF Austin 63-75 -12 -1 -0.66
110 H Lamar 62-78 -16 -1 -0.92
115 A Ea Texas A&M 70-63 7 0 1.73
117 A Nowestern St 66-53 13 -1 + 2.68
122 A Houston Chr 74-65 9 1 1.16
124 A TX A&M-CC 90-73 17 1 0.97
129 H TX A&M-CC 64-70 -6 1 - -3.05
131 H UTRGV 70-80 -10 -1 -0.97
205 H Soea LA 64-74 -10 1 - -3.25
207 H McNeese 54-75 -21 -3 0.00
212 H New Orleans 73-77 -4 2 - -3.66
214 A Nicholls 72-66 6 0 + 2.07
219 A Nowestern St 71-65 6 -1 + 2.68
221 A Ea Texas A&M 71-61 10 0 1.73
226 H SF Austin 71-93 -22 -1 -0.66
228 H Lamar 69-80 -11 -1 -0.92
302 H UTRGV 64-72 -8 -1 -0.97
309 H Nicholls 55-81 -26 0 -1.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 129 H TX A&M-CC 64-70 -6 1 - -3.05 205 H Soea LA 64-74 -10 1 - -3.25 212 H New Orleans 73-77 -4 2 - -3.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1216 A Nicholls 54-52 2 0 + 2.07 117 A Nowestern St 66-53 13 -1 + 2.68 214 A Nicholls 72-66 6 0 + 2.07 219 A Nowestern St 71-65 6 -1 + 2.68 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 51-** -0.81 10.15 -0.01 1.08 -0.44
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 56-69 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 1.08 -3.07
3 H Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 57-74 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 1.08 -2.90
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 62-70 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.08 -2.10
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 56-84 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 1.08 -1.24
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 54-52 -7.27 3.69 0.01 1.08 8.03
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 79-68 -8.97 1.99 0.01 1.08 4.33
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 53-74 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 1.08 -2.60
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 66-59 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.08 5.22
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 56-52 -8.17 2.79 0.01 1.08 6.07
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 63-75 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 H Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 62-78 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 1.08 -3.38
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 70-63 -7.61 3.35 0.01 1.08 7.29
3 A Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 66-53 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.08 9.35
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 74-65 -8.17 2.79 0.01 1.08 6.07
3 A TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 90-73 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.08 5.64
3 H TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 64-70 -8.37 2.59 -0.01 1.08 -4.54
3 H UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 70-80 -6.29 4.67 -0.01 1.08 -3.41
3 H Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 64-74 -8.56 2.40 -0.01 1.08 -4.64
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 54-75 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 1.08 -2.60
3 H New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 73-77 -8.97 1.99 -0.01 1.08 -4.87
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 72-66 -7.27 3.69 0.01 1.08 8.03
3 A Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 71-65 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.08 9.35
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 71-61 -7.61 3.35 0.01 1.08 7.29
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 71-93 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 H Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 69-80 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 1.08 -3.38
3 H UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 64-72 -6.29 4.67 -0.01 1.08 -3.41
3 H Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 55-81 -7.27 3.69 -0.01 1.08 -3.94
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23.66
|
winning pts = 76.6760 losing points = -53.0167
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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